Societe Generale is “enthusiastic on gold” — so much so that in their
latest cross-asset strategy report, they call “buy gold ahead of QE3″
their number one strategy, saying it’s “the perfect asset to benefit”
from additional loose monetary policy.
In the report, SocGen discusses the historical relationship between
the price of gold and the U.S. monetary base. The SocGen team writes
that “if gold catches up with the increase in the monetary base since
1920 (as it did in the early 80s), its price would rise to USD 8500/Oz,”
adding that just “to close the gap with the monetary base increase
since July 2007, gold would have to rise to $1,900/oz, assuming full
transmission from the monetary base increase to the gold price.”
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